Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
29%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
RMA
0 - 1
ESP
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
52%
21%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
4 - 2
MAL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 2
OVI
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VCF
1 - 3
FCB
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |