Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
66%
17%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
64%
17%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
67%
17%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1942 |
RMA
1 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
5 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATH
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
46%
21%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
VCF
1 - 2
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
ESP
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |