Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 11-4Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
67%
16%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
RMA
5 - 3
JFC
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
JFC
1 - 1
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1943 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
RMA
3 - 3
ESP
70%
16%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
67%
16%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 4
FCB
25%
21%
54%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 2
SDC
88%
8%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 1
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
CEL
1 - 5
FCB
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |