Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
47%
21%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
RMA
3 - 2
RUN
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 2
RMA
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
RMA
5 - 0
ALA
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
VCF
0 - 0
FCB
37%
24%
40%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
FCB
6 - 0
ALA
90%
7%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
FCB
4 - 2
RAC
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
ATH
3 - 0
FCB
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |