Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 1
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
RSO
2 - 1
RMA
53%
20%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 6
ATH
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
RAC
3 - 0
RMA
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 0
ALA
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALA
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 1
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
FCB
6 - 2
ESP
69%
16%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ARE
5 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |