Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
EUR
5 - 2
RMA
8%
12%
80%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
60%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 2
RMA
37%
22%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
RUN
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
5 - 1
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |