Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 15-11Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
6 - 6
FCB
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1916 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
62%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1913 |
RMA
0 - 3
ATH
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1910 |
VAS
2 - 0
RMA
4%
15%
81%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
6 - 6
FCB
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1916 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1916 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1913 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1913 |
FCB
0 - 0
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |