Champions League 1/16
Global 9-2
Real Madrid vs Boldklubben 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
RMA
3 - 0
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ELC
1 - 1
RMA
17%
23%
61%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
RMA
6 - 1
CCF
91%
7%
3%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
B19
2 - 5
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
94 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
RMA
6 - 0
UDL
91%
6%
3%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Boldklubben 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
B19
2 - 5
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 94 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
FCN
6 - 0
B19
78%
12%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1963 |
B19
0 - 1
FCN
43%
20%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
B19
5 - 3
GRA
40%
20%
40%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1962 |
GRA
1 - 1
B19
70%
16%
15%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |