Supercopa Final
Global 1-2
Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
RMA
9%
15%
76%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
89%
8%
3%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MUD
3 - 1
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
RMA
0 - 1
ROM
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 1
INT
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAM
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 1
ATM
9%
21%
71%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 5
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AME
0 - 0
ATM
20%
25%
55%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |