Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
93%
6%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 0
RMA
5%
13%
82%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
VAD
1 - 1
RMA
4%
12%
84%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
90%
7%
3%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
0 - 4
RMA
49%
22%
28%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
MAL
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 0
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 3
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |