Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
RMA
5 - 0
EXT
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
RMA
3 - 1
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1997 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ATM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ATM
1 - 1
EXT
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CDT
2 - 3
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |