Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
RMA
4 - 0
DIN
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RMA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
RMA
1 - 1
COM
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1994 |
DIN
2 - 2
RMA
36%
26%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ATM
0 - 2
BET
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
ATM
1 - 1
DEP
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ATM
6 - 0
VAD
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |