League Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
32%
26%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 2
RMA
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
RMA
3 - 2
MUR
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
SLA
2 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
ATM
3 - 3
ZAR
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
CAD
3 - 1
ATM
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
55%
26%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |