Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 2
RMA
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 0
CDT
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ATH
2 - 0
RMA
38%
28%
35%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 0
RMA
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
VCF
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |