Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
OSA
1 - 2
RMA
22%
23%
56%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
RMA
11 - 2
ELC
91%
6%
3%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1960 |
NIC
3 - 2
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
1 - 3
RMA
49%
22%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
ATM
3 - 0
RSO
78%
13%
8%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATM
34%
24%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ATM
2 - 3
VAD
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ATM
4 - 0
OVI
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |