Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
25%
22%
53%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1957 |
RMA
6 - 0
ANT
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
RMA
6 - 0
ATH
71%
16%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
4 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ATM
5 - 1
GRA
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |