Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
20%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
GIM
1 - 7
RMA
44%
21%
35%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
RMA
1 - 0
GIM
80%
12%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VAD
1 - 4
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RMA
5 - 1
GIM
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATH
6 - 2
RMA
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
ATM
4 - 2
MAL
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
MAL
4 - 3
ATM
47%
21%
32%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ATM
4 - 4
VCF
63%
18%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OVI
1 - 3
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATM
5 - 3
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |