Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SEV
1 - 2
RMA
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
59%
19%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
VCF
4 - 1
RMA
71%
16%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
RCF
0 - 0
ATM
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
RCF
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |