Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
6 - 0
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
6 - 1
VCF
74%
14%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
40%
23%
36%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
ATM
6 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATM
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
OVI
4 - 3
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 3
ESP
57%
20%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
68%
17%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |