Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 4
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
3 - 2
RMA
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |