Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 0
RMA
41%
22%
37%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
RMA
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
RMA
5 - 1
BET
75%
14%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
69%
16%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
RMA
6 - 2
OSA
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
ATM
0 - 3
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
RAC
5 - 2
ATM
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
61%
18%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
51%
20%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 1
ATM
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |