Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMA
45%
23%
32%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
RMA
0 - 1
BET
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1934 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
BET
0 - 2
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAC
36%
21%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATM
59%
19%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
ATM
1 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
OSA
2 - 0
ATM
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
ATM
5 - 0
ALA
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |