Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
RUN
2 - 2
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
60%
20%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 4
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RMA
5 - 2
ARE
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
RMA
15%
16%
69%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 0
ATM
36%
22%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
ATM
1 - 3
ARE
67%
16%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
6 - 1
ATM
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |