Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 0
ZAR
89%
7%
3%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
RMA
30%
22%
48%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
2 - 0
BET
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 2
BET
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
BET
1 - 0
RMA
21%
21%
57%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1963 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ATH
4 - 2
SEV
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
0 - 3
ATH
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |