Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
MLL
5 - 2
RMA
13%
21%
67%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 0
OSA
91%
7%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
CCF
1 - 1
RMA
10%
19%
70%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 2
ZAR
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ATH
0 - 0
BET
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATH
33%
25%
43%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 0
ATH
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 2
OSA
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CCF
1 - 2
ATH
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |