Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
47%
21%
31%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
RMA
1 - 0
RSO
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
RMA
6 - 0
RAC
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ELC
0 - 0
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATH
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATH
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ATH
5 - 1
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
35%
25%
39%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |