Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1947 |
CAS
0 - 1
RMA
40%
23%
38%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
RMA
2 - 0
CAS
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
RMA
6 - 0
BET
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
BET
4 - 0
RMA
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
RMA
4 - 2
RCF
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1947 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
49%
21%
31%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
ATH
12 - 1
CEL
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 2
ATH
38%
21%
41%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
ATH
6 - 2
LEV
86%
9%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
DEP
3 - 3
ATH
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |