Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 2
RMA
37%
22%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
RUN
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 3
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 1
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
5 - 1
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
RUN
6 - 3
ATH
43%
24%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
ARE
1 - 0
ATH
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 0
EUR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |