Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
NAA
2 - 3
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
RMA
4 - 0
NAA
88%
8%
4%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
5 - 0
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ATH
6 - 1
CEL
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1923 |
ATH
1 - 0
EUR
84%
11%
6%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |