Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
NAA
2 - 3
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
RMA
4 - 0
NAA
88%
8%
4%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
5 - 0
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
RMA
1 - 3
ATH
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ATH
6 - 1
CEL
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1923 |
ATH
1 - 0
EUR
84%
11%
6%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
2 - 0
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |