Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 9-4
Real Madrid vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1936 |
ARE
2 - 1
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
36%
24%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1936 |
ARE
2 - 1
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
85%
10%
6%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
MUR
1 - 0
ARE
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
ARE
2 - 0
ZAR
53%
21%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
6 - 1
ARE
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |