Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 10-8
Real Madrid vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1922 |
ARE
4 - 0
RMA
23%
23%
55%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1918 |
RUN
2 - 0
RMA
18%
22%
61%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1918 |
RMA
4 - 0
REC
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1922 |
ARE
4 - 0
RMA
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
FCB
2 - 5
ARE
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +3 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
ARE
6 - 1
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1919 |
RVS
0 - 2
ARE
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1919 |
ARE
3 - 0
RCM
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |