Champions League 1/16
Global 3-4
Real Madrid vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
ZAR
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
31%
23%
47%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1962 |
SLB
5 - 3
RMA
60%
19%
22%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
63%
18%
20%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
AND
2 - 0
DIE
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
STR
3 - 3
AND
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
AND
1 - 1
BEE
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
BRU
1 - 1
AND
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
AND
3 - 5
ANT
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |