Real Madrid vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
LLE
1 - 6
RMA
22%
22%
55%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
RMA
3 - 2
VCF
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
FCB
7 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
RSO
6 - 2
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
RMA
6 - 2
ESP
74%
15%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ALC
1 - 4
RSO
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 3
ALC
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
CEL
6 - 2
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ALC
3 - 3
RAC
50%
21%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |