Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
RAC
0 - 4
RMA
31%
23%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
MAL
3 - 1
RMA
28%
23%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
UDL
1 - 1
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
ALA
2 - 1
SEV
31%
24%
46%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
HER
2 - 2
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
ALA
0 - 1
RSO
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
ALA
2 - 1
DEP
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |