Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
38%
23%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMA
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
42%
24%
35%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 0
BET
78%
14%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BET
3 - 0
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 2
RSO
30%
20%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
ATH
3 - 2
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 2
RAC
36%
20%
44%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 2
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAB
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |