Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
RAC
4 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
RMA
6 - 1
RSG
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1928 |
CDP
1 - 3
RMA
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 7 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
ALA
3 - 0
RSG
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
ALA
2 - 0
ATH
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
ATM
1 - 3
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
RAC
2 - 2
ALA
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |