Real Madrid vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
85%
10%
5%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALC
96%
4%
1%
|
97 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
RMA
7%
15%
79%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
RMA
21%
21%
57%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
BVB
35%
25%
41%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
VVV
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |