Europa League 1/32
Global 5-1
Real Madrid vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
48%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
AEK
1 - 0
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
RMA
1 - 0
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
RMA
5 - 0
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
AEK
1 - 0
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
UJP
4 - 1
AEK
84%
10%
7%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
AEK
2 - 0
UJP
6%
28%
66%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
AEK
0 - 1
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |