Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-2
Real Madrid vs Eclipse Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
ATH
2 - 4
RMA
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 0
RMA
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |