Real Madrid C vs CUC Villalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
31
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 5
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LRZ
0 - 2
RMA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 0
POZ
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
RMA
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
CVI
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 2
POZ
29%
27%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GET
1 - 1
CVI
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
CVI
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |