Real Madrid C vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+105%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
15º
12º
4
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
18º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 24% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 0
GET
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 1
RMA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RMA
3 - 3
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 3
RMA
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
ADA
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SSR
1 - 1
COL
76%
17%
7%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
CPC
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 0
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |