Real Madrid C vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SSR
1 - 1
RMC
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAJ
1 - 1
RMC
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
RMC
1 - 0
MST
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
STA
0 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RMC
3 - 2
GET
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 0
ADP
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 1
PNT
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 1
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
7 - 1
SFN
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |