Real Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COL
2 - 2
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
SPB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
3 - 4
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
MAN
1 - 0
RMC
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ARA
0 - 3
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
GET
4 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
1 - 2
TAL
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROB
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |