Real Madrid C vs Puerta Bonita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SSR
0 - 0
RMC
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 3
ALC
33%
26%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RMC
0 - 1
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PBO
5 - 1
LRZ
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SFN
1 - 2
PBO
48%
27%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PBO
1 - 0
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PBO
0 - 2
SSR
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
PBO
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |