Real Madrid C vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
RMC
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 0
LRZ
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ADA
0 - 2
RMC
24%
25%
52%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
0 - 2
NAV
47%
23%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ADP
1 - 1
RMC
56%
25%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
MST
1 - 1
RVB
52%
26%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PBO
0 - 0
MST
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GET
1 - 1
MST
50%
27%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
PNT
0 - 0
MST
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MST
0 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |