Real Madrid C vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COX
1 - 5
RMC
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RMC
1 - 2
GET
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 0
RMC
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 0
CDG
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATB
1 - 1
RMC
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LEG
2 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAU
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDO
1 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
RVB
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |