Real Madrid C vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 3
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
RMC
2 - 1
DAI
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
CDB
2 - 3
RMC
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
LEG
1 - 0
RMC
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
PEG
1 - 1
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
LUG
2 - 2
ATB
26%
31%
43%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ATB
1 - 0
GAN
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
ATB
2 - 1
RAY
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CDT
3 - 1
ATB
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ATB
3 - 1
BAL
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +3 |