Real Madrid C vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
RCF
2 - 0
RMC
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
RMC
2 - 1
LUG
40%
29%
31%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
CUL
1 - 0
RMC
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
RMC
6 - 0
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
TOM
3 - 1
RMC
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
ARO
1 - 1
ROB
38%
31%
32%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
GET
1 - 0
ARO
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
SSR
1 - 0
ARO
52%
27%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
ARO
2 - 0
RCF
34%
28%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARO
64%
24%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |