Royal AM vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
14º
13º
32
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
RKF
3 - 2
RIB
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
RKF
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MPU
2 - 0
RKF
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
RKF
1 - 0
GOL
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SSU
3 - 1
RKF
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 2
SSU
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 0
SWA
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
SWA
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 0
TSG
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |